TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chunichi Dragons vs. Yomiuri Giants
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Chunichi Dragons vs Yomiuri Giants?

Volume:
$7,524

Chunichi Dragons vs. Yomiuri Giants

 - Polymarket

Chunichi Dragons vs. Yomiuri Giants - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 9:08 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Chunichi Dragons vs. Yomiuri Giants

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$544
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,095
N/A
N/A
$3,249
Settled
No
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,050
N/A
N/A
$1,045
Settled
No
kalshi

Chunichi Dragons wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$928
N/A
N/A
$928
Settled
No
kalshi

Chunichi Dragons wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$908
N/A
N/A
$908
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers two distinct baseball markets for the NPB game between the Chunichi Dragons and Yomiuri Giants. The Polymarket market resolves based on which team wins the game, while the Kalshi market resolves based on run differentials exceeding specific thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market type divergence - Polymarket is a team winner market while Kalshi is a run-differential threshold marketHero tip: Treat these as separate bets with different resolution criteria. The Polymarket outcome will always be a team name or 50-50, while Kalshi will always resolve to Yes or No based on run differentials.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Chunichi Dragons if they win, Yomiuri Giants if they win, or 50-50 for ties/cancellations. Uses official NPB information as primary source with credible reporting as consensus.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if any of these conditions are met: Chunichi wins by >2.5 runs, Chunichi wins by >1.5 runs, Yomiuri wins by >1.5 runs, or Yomiuri wins by >2.5 runs. Resolves to No otherwise.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 15 at 1:00AM ET: If the Chunichi Dragons win, the market will resolve to "Chunichi Dragons". If the Yomiuri Giants win, the market will resolve to "Yomiuri Giants". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The event encompasses four distinct outcome scenarios based on the run differential in the Yomiuri Giants vs Chunichi Dragons game scheduled for August 14, 2026. If the Chunichi Dragons win by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. A narrower Chunichi Dragons victory of over 1.5 runs resolves the second market to Yes. Conversely, if the Yomiuri Giants win by more than 1.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes, and a Yomiuri Giants victory margin exceeding 2.5 runs resolves the fourth market to Yes. All markets share the same underlying game and time, and each defines a specific threshold for victory margin. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets is not officially connected to the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Chunichi Dragons vs. Yomiuri Giants matchup aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the chances of different outcomes. It displays total volume of $7,524 and 24-hour volume of $5,169, letting you see where the market consensus sits. Because this market is available on several venues, the dashboard also highlights any notable differences in pricing or sentiment across them, giving a unified view of trader expectations for this upcoming game.

Injuries, pitching changes, weather delays, and recent performance trends could all shift this market. Key starters taking the mound or late-breaking bullpen moves often reshape trader expectations. Also, any notable lineup adjustments or momentum swings during early innings may cause rapid repricing, especially on platforms with lower volume. Keep an eye on pre-game announcements and live updates to anticipate shifts.