TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 9:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers two distinct baseball markets for the NPB game between the Chunichi Dragons and Yomiuri Giants. The Polymarket market resolves based on which team wins the game, while the Kalshi market resolves based on run differentials exceeding specific thresholds.
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 15 at 1:00AM ET: If the Chunichi Dragons win, the market will resolve to "Chunichi Dragons". If the Yomiuri Giants win, the market will resolve to "Yomiuri Giants". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The event encompasses four distinct outcome scenarios based on the run differential in the Yomiuri Giants vs Chunichi Dragons game scheduled for August 14, 2026. If the Chunichi Dragons win by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. A narrower Chunichi Dragons victory of over 1.5 runs resolves the second market to Yes. Conversely, if the Yomiuri Giants win by more than 1.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes, and a Yomiuri Giants victory margin exceeding 2.5 runs resolves the fourth market to Yes. All markets share the same underlying game and time, and each defines a specific threshold for victory margin. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets is not officially connected to the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Injuries, pitching changes, weather delays, and recent performance trends could all shift this market. Key starters taking the mound or late-breaking bullpen moves often reshape trader expectations. Also, any notable lineup adjustments or momentum swings during early innings may cause rapid repricing, especially on platforms with lower volume. Keep an eye on pre-game announcements and live updates to anticipate shifts.