TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 8:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total number of runs scored by both the Chunichi Dragons and Yokohama DeNA BayStars in their scheduled college baseball game. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds, offering different levels of scoring intensity to consider.
The markets resolve based on whether the total runs scored by both teams in the specified college baseball game exceed predefined thresholds of 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. Each threshold represents a distinct level of scoring volume, with the market closing as 'Yes' if the combined runs cross that line. All markets apply to the same game, originally scheduled for August 29, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT, and are independent of any official league affiliations, as noted in the secondary rules regarding trademarks and branding ownership.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and the inclusion of exotic bet types. While sportsbooks may set a line at 5.5 runs with a standard -110 price on each side, prediction markets price probabilities directly, reflecting crowd-sourced expectations. This can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing, especially as new pitching changes or weather updates emerge.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding and asking, creating a dynamic probability for each outcome. The current top chance reflects collective wisdom about run-scoring trends, recent team performance, and expected conditions. Volume of $4,277 shows how much trading has occurred, with price shifts driven by new information like starting pitcher announcements or weather forecasts.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final over-under result is determined by the official total runs scored by both teams combined at the end of the game, factoring in any acknowledged adjustments from governing sports authorities.
Key signals that could shift this market include starting pitcher changes, weather delays or alterations to game conditions, injuries to star players, and macro trends like recent offensive surges or pitching dominance within the league. Any update that meaningfully alters expected run production can cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess probabilities ahead of Aug 29, 2026.