TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 8:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the Chunichi Dragons and the Yokohama DeNA BayStars, focusing on the margin of victory. It allows participants to speculate on whether a team will win by a specific number of runs or more. The event is based on a professional league match scheduled for August 29, 2026.
The event consists of four distinct outcome markets tied to the same baseball game between the Chunichi Dragons and Yokohama DeNA BayStars, all scheduled for August 29, 2026. Each market resolves based on the winning margin of the game. The first market resolves to Yes if Yokohama DeNA BayStars win by more than 2.5 runs. The second market resolves to Yes if Yokohama DeNA BayStars win by more than 1.5 runs. The third market resolves to Yes if Chunichi Dragons win by more than 1.5 runs. The fourth market resolves to Yes if Chunichi Dragons win by more than 2.5 runs. All markets share the same underlying game and time, and each has its own specific threshold for resolution. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader dynamics and available information. While sportsbooks set fixed spreads and prices, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can create sharper or more volatile pricing. Traders may react faster to new data, such as player injuries or weather conditions, potentially moving this market differently than standard sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official game score and whether the Dragons meet or exceed the spread set for the match. Once the game concludes, the market settles according to the recorded run difference, with no further changes possible after the resolution date.