TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chunichi Dragons vs. Yokohama BayStars
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Chunichi Dragons vs Yokohama BayStars?

Volume:
$36,490

Chunichi Dragons wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Chunichi Dragons wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 3:34 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chunichi Dragons wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,971
N/A
N/A
$9,150
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chunichi Dragons wins by over 2.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,263
N/A
N/A
$4,818
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chunichi Dragons vs. Yokohama BayStars

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,059
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,045
N/A
N/A
$4,297
Settled
No
kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,152
N/A
N/A
$2,152
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers the outcome of an NPB baseball game between the Chunichi Dragons and the Yokohama BayStars scheduled for July 26, 2026. The markets differ in how they define a winning outcome based on run differentials.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Threshold Divergence - Kalshi uses run differential thresholds while Polymarket uses simple win/lossHero tip: Traders should be aware that these markets will resolve differently even for the same game outcome. A Chunichi Dragons win by exactly 2 runs would resolve 'Chunichi Dragons' on Polymarket but would be a 'No' on all four Kalshi markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on who wins the game, regardless of run differential. Key Quote: "If the Chunichi Dragons win, the market will resolve to 'Chunichi Dragons'"
  • Kalshi: Has four separate markets that resolve based on specific run differential thresholds. Key Quote: "If the Chunichi Dragons win by more than 2.5 runs... market resolves to Yes"
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 26 at 12:30AM ET: If the Chunichi Dragons win, the market will resolve to "Chunichi Dragons". If the Yokohama BayStars win, the market will resolve to "Yokohama BayStars". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

This event includes four markets determining if the Chunichi Dragons win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 runs, or if the Yokohama DeNA BayStars win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 runs in their Japan NPB game on Jul 26, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins by the stated margin. The secondary rule states Kalshi's lack of official affiliation with the Governing League and trademark ownership by respective parties.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Chunichi Dragons vs. Yokohama BayStars matchup aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of various outcomes. It tracks total volume of $36,490 and recent 24-hour volume of $35,223, letting you see where interest is concentrated across venues. The view updates continuously, reflecting the consensus across Polymarket and Kalshi as well as any notable shifts in sentiment.