TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chunichi Dragons vs. Yokohama BayStars
polymarket
kalshi

Chunichi Dragons vs. Yokohama BayStars

Volume:
$504,834

Yokohama DeNA BayStars

 - Kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 25, 2026

Closed: Jul 25, 4:24 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$322,582
N/A
N/A
$226,879
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chunichi Dragons

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$176,964
N/A
N/A
$116,915
Settled
No
polymarket

Chunichi Dragons vs. Yokohama BayStars

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,289
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks which team will win the Nippon Professional Baseball game between the Chunichi Dragons and Yokohama BayStars scheduled for July 25, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 10.0% across Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution sourced from https://npb.jp/. The upcoming game on July 25, 2026, will serve as the key catalyst to watch for market resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market resolution logic is internally contradictory, stating both possible outcomes (Yokohama BayStars win and Chunichi Dragons win) resolve to Yes. This makes the market logically unresolvable as written and suggests either a data integrity failure or fundamental misalignment with Polymarket's binary winner-selection design.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market until the resolution criteria are clarified with Kalshi support. The Polymarket binary structure (Dragons name vs BayStars name vs 50-50 split) is logically sound and should be treated as the reference framework. Assume Kalshi intended a binary win/loss structure but contains a copy-paste or template error.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner selection: resolves to 'Chunichi Dragons' if Dragons win, 'Yokohama BayStars' if BayStars win. Cancellation/tie/postponement (with no makeup) resolves 50-50. Postponed games remain open until completion. Source: Official NPB information or credible consensus reporting.
  • Kalshi: Contradictory resolution: states 'If Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Chunichi Dragons wins...resolves to Yes'. Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to identical resolution (Yes), making the market logically unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 25 at 1:00AM ET: If the Chunichi Dragons win, the market will resolve to "Chunichi Dragons". If the Yokohama BayStars win, the market will resolve to "Yokohama BayStars". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

This event covers the Japan NPB game between Yokohama DeNA BayStars and Chunichi Dragons originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT. Resolution depends on the final outcome of the completed game. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price per official rules. In the event of a tie, the market resolves to 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

Injuries, lineup changes, weather conditions, and recent performance trends can all shift this market. Key moments such as star player returns or coaching strategies may cause rapid price adjustments on Polymarket and Kalshi. Traders will also react to any pre-game betting trends or media narratives that influence perceptions of each team's chances, potentially creating volatility as the contest approaches.