TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 8:44 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both the Chunichi Dragons and Tokyo Yakult Swallows in their baseball game scheduled for September 26, 2026. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds, offering different levels of scoring intensity to consider.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by both teams in a single baseball match. Each threshold represents a distinct level of scoring intensity, with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the combined runs exceed the specified threshold of 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. All markets refer to the same game, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. The resolution is based solely on the final confirmed score, and Kalsci explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league or its entities, with all trademarks remaining the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a smaller team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many participants. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total run outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final total runs and trading accordingly. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s depth and volume of $18,383 demonstrate the level of engagement and confidence in the predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total runs scored in the Chunichi Dragons versus Tokyo Yakult Swallows game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events based on the verified results of this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Chunichi Dragons or the Tokyo Yakult Swallows would likely have an impact. Weather conditions at the game location are also a significant factor, as rain or wind could affect scoring. Finally, any late-breaking analysis from baseball experts or shifts in public sentiment could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.