TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 8:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both the Chunichi Dragons and Tokyo Yakult Swallows in their baseball game. Participants predict whether the combined runs will exceed certain thresholds. The outcome depends purely on the game's final score.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total runs scored by both teams in a specific baseball game. Each market has a different threshold for the total runs: 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs. If the combined score exceeds any of these thresholds, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' The game in question is scheduled for September 25, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. It is important to note that Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging with sportsbook odds as the event approaches. However, discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information and market participants. Sportsbooks incorporate their own modeling and profit margins, while this market relies on traders' individual assessments. It's common to see prediction markets offer slightly different probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, especially early on, and sometimes provide a more accurate forecast as more information becomes available.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the Chunichi Dragons versus Tokyo Yakult Swallows game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine whether the total runs exceed or fall short of 7.5. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding starting pitchers, such as injuries or changes in form, would likely cause significant movement. Weather forecasts, particularly any predictions of rain that could affect scoring, are also key. Additionally, any major announcements concerning player lineups or batting orders could shift expectations. Even general sentiment and public perception of each team’s offensive capabilities can contribute to changes in the odds for this market.