TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 8:05 AM EST
Kalshi
Chunichi Dragons compete with Tokyo Yakult Swallows in timed professional play. A run by either team before the conclusion of the first half-inning ends the betting condition.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Chunichi Dragons vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows professional Japan NPB baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a relatively small number of professional oddsmakers, while this market incorporates insights from many participants. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market’s life, as prediction markets can be more responsive to new information and shifts in public opinion. Examining these differences can provide valuable perspectives on the perceived probabilities of various outcomes.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether a run is scored in the first inning of the game between the Chunichi Dragons and the Tokyo Yakult Swallows. Official game data will be used to determine if a run was scored, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the starting pitchers for either team, such as injury reports or recent performance statistics, could significantly impact the odds. Weather conditions at the game location are also a key consideration, as rain delays or strong winds can affect scoring. Finally, major announcements about player lineups or changes in team strategy could also lead to shifts in the market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions about the likelihood of a first-inning run.