TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 10:41 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 6 at 5:00AM ET: If the Chunichi Dragons win, the market will resolve to "Chunichi Dragons". If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 6 at 5:00AM ET: If the Chunichi Dragons win, the market will resolve to "Chunichi Dragons". If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, the current probability reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may factor in broader market considerations and adjusted risk parameters, this market derives its odds purely from user-backed trades. The resulting price often diverges from sportsbook offerings due to differences in liquidity, trader bias, and speculative dynamics. For participants, this market provides an alternative view shaped by real-time betting activity and crowd wisdom, which can sometimes present more aggressive or contrarian positions compared to conventional sports odds.
This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game record, and the market will close promptly after the final score is beyond dispute. Traders should monitor reputable sports news sources for confirmation as the event date approaches.
Several developments could shift probabilities in this market before Aug 13, 2026. Key influences include pitching changes, injuries to star players, weather disruptions affecting game conditions, and head-to-head performance trends during upcoming matchups. Sudden shifts in team momentum or changes in bullpen effectiveness may also reshape trader expectations. As the season progresses, any significant game outcomes or statistical updates will feed directly into trader decisions, potentially creating volatility or rapid repricing in this market.