TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 8:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the outcome of a baseball game between the Chunichi Dragons and Hiroshima Toyo Carp, focusing on the margin of victory. It determines whether either team secures a win by a specific number of runs, reflecting the competitive balance and potential dominance in the matchup.
The event evaluates different winning margins for both the Chunichi Dragons and Hiroshima Toyo Carp in their Japan NPB game scheduled for August 1, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered: Hiroshima Toyo Carp winning by over 2.5 runs, Hiroshima Toyo Carp winning by over 1.5 runs, Chunichi Dragons winning by over 1.5 runs, and Chunichi Dragons winning by over 2.5 runs. Each outcome is tied to a specific run differential threshold, with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the actual game result meets or exceeds any of these thresholds for the respective team. The event is based on the game originally scheduled for the specified date and time, and Kalsci explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks and brand names.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced, trader-driven outlook compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytics and public betting patterns, prediction markets incorporate real-time trader sentiment and can shift more quickly with new information or momentum swings during the game.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread from the completed game determines which side of the market is settled, based on official scores and confirmed results.