TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

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$107,351,958

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chunichi Dragons vs. Hiroshima Carp
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Chunichi Dragons vs. Hiroshima Carp?

Volume:
$76,468

Chunichi Dragons

 - Kalshi

Chunichi Dragons - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 21, 4:14 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chunichi Dragons

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$39,274
N/A
N/A
$24,623
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chunichi Dragons vs. Hiroshima Carp

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,517
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,677
N/A
N/A
$25,445
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a baseball game between the Chunichi Dragons and the Hiroshima Carp in Japan's NPB league. Users are predicting which team will win the game, with a potential for a 50-50 split resolution if the game is canceled or ends in a tie.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market appears to be for a game scheduled in 2026, creating a fundamental mismatch with Polymarket's current-year reference.Hero tip: Avoid trading on either market due to the significant date discrepancy. The Kalshi market is likely for a different event entirely.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the winner of the game on September 21st. If the game is postponed, the market remains open. If canceled or tied, it resolves 50-50. "In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 21 at 1:00AM ET..."
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if either team wins a game scheduled for September 21, 2026, at 1:00 AM EDT. This is a future date and creates a significant divergence. "...originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT..."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 21 at 1:00AM ET: If the Chunichi Dragons win, the market will resolve to "Chunichi Dragons". If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins the Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Chunichi Dragons Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chunichi Dragons wins the Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Chunichi Dragons Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the NPB championship from multiple platforms, currently Polymarket and Kalshi. It provides a consensus view of the probability of various outcomes, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders. The current total volume across these platforms is $76,468, with $76,461 traded in the last 24 hours. By tracking the combined activity, we can see how the market is interpreting information and adjusting its expectations for the eventual winner of the NPB championship. This allows for a more robust and informed perspective than looking at any single platform in isolation.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting volume and ensure profitability, incorporating a margin for themselves. In contrast, prediction markets, like this market, allow participants to freely trade and express their beliefs, leading to odds that more closely reflect the true probabilities as perceived by the crowd. While both attempt to forecast the same events, the mechanisms and resulting prices can vary significantly, offering potential value for informed traders.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Key player injuries, unexpected team performance shifts, and major announcements regarding the championship schedule are all potential catalysts. Significant news coverage, changes in team management, or even weather conditions affecting game play could also impact trader sentiment and shift the odds. Monitoring these events and assessing their potential impact on the outcome is crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either team winning will likely be reflected in the trading activity.