TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chunichi Dragons vs. Hiroshima Carp
kalshi
polymarket

Chunichi Dragons vs. Hiroshima Carp

Volume:
$101,269

Tokyo Yakult Swallows

 - Kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 29, 8:44 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$55,922
N/A
N/A
$31,605
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,206
N/A
N/A
$23,000
Settled
No
polymarket

Chunichi Dragons vs. Hiroshima Carp

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers two separate baseball matches involving Japanese NPB teams. The first market on Kalshi refers to a Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp game scheduled for August 29, 2026, while the Polymarket question concerns a Chunichi Dragons vs Hiroshima Carp game scheduled for September 3, 2026. Resolution depends on official NPB results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: These markets reference entirely different baseball games with different dates and teams, creating a fundamental scope mismatchHero tip: Treat these as separate markets. The Kalshi market resolves based on an August 29 game between Tokyo Yakult Swallows and Hiroshima Toyo Carp, while the Polymarket market resolves based on a September 3 game between Chunichi Dragons and Hiroshima Carp

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either Tokyo Yakult Swallows or Hiroshima Toyo Carp win the game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT
  • Polymarket: Resolves to Chunichi Dragons/Hiroshima Carp based on the outcome of a game scheduled for September 3 at 5:00AM ET, with tie/cancellation rules
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 3 at 5:00AM ET: If the Chunichi Dragons win, the market will resolve to "Chunichi Dragons". If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins the Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins the Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.