TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chunichi Dragons vs. Hiroshima Carp
kalshi
polymarket

Chunichi Dragons vs. Hiroshima Carp

Volume:
$11,151

Chunichi Dragons vs. Hiroshima Carp

 - Polymarket

Chunichi Dragons vs. Hiroshima Carp - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 2, 2026

Closed: Sep 2, 10:57 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Chunichi Dragons vs. Hiroshima Carp

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,554
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$1,701
N/A
N/A
$1,699
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 2.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$682
N/A
N/A
$672
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chunichi Dragons wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$3,285
N/A
N/A
$3,082
Settled
No
kalshi

Chunichi Dragons wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$928
N/A
N/A
$928
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers the outcome of an NPB baseball game between the Chunichi Dragons and Hiroshima Carp. The markets differ in their specific resolution criteria, with one focusing on the simple win condition and the other on run differentials.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets have fundamentally different resolution criteria: Polymarket resolves on win/loss/postponement/cancellation, while Kalshi resolves on run differential thresholds.Hero tip: Traders should verify the official NPB result and cross-check against each platform's specific rules before settling. Polymarket's market resolves on game outcome alone, while Kalshi's market depends on specific run margins.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Chunichi Dragons if they win, Hiroshima Carp if they win, remains open if postponed, and resolves 50-50 if canceled or tied. Key quote: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 runs, with no explicit handling for ties or cancellations. Key quote: If the Hiroshima Toyo Carp win by more than 1.5 runs...then the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 2 at 5:00AM ET: If the Chunichi Dragons win, the market will resolve to "Chunichi Dragons". If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the margin of victory in the Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Chunichi Dragons Japan NPB game scheduled for September 1, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered: Chunichi Dragons winning by over 2.5 runs, Chunichi Dragons winning by over 1.5 runs, Hiroshima Toyo Carp winning by over 1.5 runs, and Hiroshima Toyo Carp winning by over 2.5 runs. Each primary rule specifies the exact condition under which the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' The secondary rules clarify that Kalsci is not officially affiliated with the Governing League and that all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners. The resolution hinges solely on the actual game result and the specified run differentials.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Chunichi vs. Hiroshima matchup market aggregates real-time data from multiple prediction platforms, showing how traders price the contest. It displays total volume of $11,151 and 24-hour volume of $10,337, letting you see where interest is concentrated. The view updates continuously, reflecting the latest consensus across venues, so you can monitor sentiment shifts as the game approaches.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can diverge because each platform attracts different user bases and liquidity patterns. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one venue might see heavier trading from regional fans, skewing its implied odds, while the other could reflect global bettors. Additionally, differing fee structures and market design choices can cause the same outcome to be priced differently, making Polymarket and Kalshi worth comparing for arbitrage or trend signals.