TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 8:49 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total runs scored by both the Chunichi Dragons and Hanshin Tigers in their college baseball game. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds. Higher thresholds offer more selective resolution criteria.
The event evaluates multiple run-total thresholds for a single baseball game between the Chunichi Dragons and Hanshin Tigers, scheduled for September 13, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. Each threshold—over 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs—defines a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the combined runs scored by both teams exceed that specific number. The structure allows participants to assess varying levels of scoring intensity within the same game, with higher thresholds representing more stringent conditions for a 'Yes' outcome. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and resolution for any given market depends solely on whether the total runs meet or exceed its unique cutoff. The secondary rules clarify that the platform is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likely total runs scored. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probabilities. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available closer to game time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, over or under 5.5 runs. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving expectations for the total runs scored in the Chunichi Dragons versus Hanshin Tigers game. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay or receive for a contract predicting a specific outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the Chunichi Dragons versus Hanshin Tigers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data source, will be used to determine whether the total runs exceed or fall short of the 5.5 run threshold. The market will then settle accordingly, paying out to those who correctly predicted the outcome based on the official game results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to game time. Changes in the starting pitchers for either team, significant weather forecasts impacting hitting conditions, or late-breaking news regarding key player injuries are all potential catalysts. Even updates on team batting lineups or recent performance trends could shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can cause noticeable price movements, as can any shifts in public perception based on pre-game analysis and expert predictions.