TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 9, 8:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the performance of two baseball teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. It reflects how fans and analysts might evaluate the dominance of a team's win or the closeness of the contest. Outcomes are determined by the actual run difference at the end of the game.
The event evaluates the outcome of a baseball game between the Chunichi Dragons and the Hanshin Tigers, originally scheduled for August 9, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. Four distinct markets exist, each corresponding to a specific run differential scenario. If the Hanshin Tigers win by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. If the Hanshin Tigers win by more than 1.5 runs (but not exceeding 2.5), the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if the Chunichi Dragons win by more than 1.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes, and if they win by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Each market operates independently, meaning only the condition explicitly met resolves to Yes, while all others resolve to No. The rules clarify that Kalsci holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score difference will settle this market, reflecting whether the Hanshin Tigers cover the spread against the Chunichi Dragons. No additional interpretation is needed beyond the official game result as reported by authoritative sports news outlets and league databases.
Injuries to key starters, weather delays affecting game dynamics, and bullpen performance updates can all shift trader sentiment in this market. Momentum swings during the series, such as a Dragons sweep or a Tigers comeback, may also influence odds. Additionally, any last-minute lineup changes or umpires’ rulings impacting run-scoring potential could cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as traders react to new information.