TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chunichi Dragons vs. Hanshin Tigers
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Chunichi Dragons vs. Hanshin Tigers?

Volume:
$183,354

Hanshin Tigers

 - Kalshi

Hanshin Tigers - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 16, 2026

Closed: Jul 16, 8:04 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hanshin Tigers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$127,596
N/A
N/A
$92,341
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chunichi Dragons

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53,172
N/A
N/A
$26,841
Settled
No
polymarket

Chunichi Dragons vs. Hanshin Tigers

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,586
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) matchup between the Chunichi Dragons and Hanshin Tigers scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this game, with resolution tied to the official final result.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction: both the Hanshin Tigers win and Chunichi Dragons win conditions are mapped to the same resolution outcome (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides clear binary logic with defined edge-case handling.Hero tip: This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi. The second resolution condition should almost certainly resolve to No, not Yes. Contact Kalshi support immediately to confirm the correct logic before trading. Polymarket's market is logically sound and resolvable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clear binary resolution: Chunichi Dragons win resolves to Chunichi Dragons; Hanshin Tigers win resolves to Hanshin Tigers. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation or tie resolves 50-50. Source: NPB official site.
  • Kalshi: Logical contradiction detected. States: If Hanshin Tigers wins, resolves to Yes. If Chunichi Dragons wins, resolves to Yes. Both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both trigger Yes resolution in a binary market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 16 at 5:00AM ET: If the Chunichi Dragons win, the market will resolve to "Chunichi Dragons". If the Hanshin Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Hanshin Tigers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the winner of the Hanshin Tigers vs Chunichi Dragons Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Jul 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price per official rules. In the event of a tie, the market resolves 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market pricing for the Chunichi Dragons vs. Hanshin Tigers matchup across Polymarket and Kalshi, letting you monitor real-time odds on both venues simultaneously. Traders on each platform continuously update their positions based on team news, injury reports, and game conditions, creating a live consensus view of which team the market favors. By tracking this market across multiple platforms, you gain insight into how different trader communities assess the matchup's likely outcome and can spot pricing inefficiencies between venues.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, often incorporating a margin. Prediction markets, by contrast, aggregate trader beliefs directly—prices reflect what thousands of participants collectively think will happen. This market's odds on Polymarket and Kalshi emerge from decentralized trading rather than a single operator's judgment, often resulting in sharper, more responsive pricing. Comparing this market to your preferred sportsbook can reveal value opportunities if one venue's odds diverge from the other's assessment.

Key catalysts include injury announcements affecting either team's roster, recent performance trends in the league, head-to-head historical matchups, and any roster trades or managerial changes. Weather forecasts closer to game day can also influence odds, particularly if conditions favor one team's playing style. Media coverage and expert commentary may sway retail traders, while sharp bettors often react to line movement on sportsbooks or shifts in team training reports. Tracking these signals across both Polymarket and Kalshi helps you anticipate price moves and time your trades strategically.