TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 7:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a scheduled UFC Fight Night bout between Christopher Padilla and Nasrat Haqparast. It covers various ways the fight could conclude, including wins by different methods for either fighter or a draw/no contest. The event reflects the competitive dynamics and potential scenarios of a professional mixed martial arts match.
The market resolves based on the official result of the UFC Fight Night bout between Christopher Padilla and Nasrat Haqparast scheduled for August 22, 2026. If Padilla wins—whether by knockout/TKO, submission, or decision—the respective Padilla victory markets resolve to Yes. Similarly, if Haqparast wins by any of these methods, his corresponding markets resolve to Yes. Should the fight end in a draw or no contest, the designated market resolves to Yes. All outcomes are determined by the official declaration of the governing UFC organization. Kalshi disclaims any formal affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official fight result is reported by credible sports news outlets and the athletic commission. The method of victory is determined by the official scorecards, referee decisions, or any declared knockout or submission during the match, and these facts will finalize the market settlement.
Key signals that could shift probabilities in this market include pre-fight media appearances, training updates, injury reports, and changes in betting volumes on related markets. Any shift in fighter momentum, strategic adjustments, or commentary from coaches and analysts may also cause traders to re-evaluate the likelihood of each method of victory, especially if new information suggests a higher chance of knockout, submission, or decision.