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$130,522,377

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2,388,728,490

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$1,438,389,636

404,028

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2,681

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Christopher Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast: Method of Finish
kalshi

Christopher Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast: Method of Finish

Volume:
$63,415

Submission

 - Kalshi

Submission - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 7:05 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Submission

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$39,598
N/A
N/A
$35,167
Settled
Yes
kalshi

KO/TKO/DQ

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,652
N/A
N/A
$14,608
Settled
No
kalshi

Decision

View
0%
67%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,130
N/A
N/A
$5,203
Settled
No
kalshi

Draw/No Contest

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
$35
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This market tracks how the scheduled UFC Fight Night bout between Christopher Padilla and Nasrat Haqparast concludes on August 22, 2026. The outcome depends on whether the fight ends via knockout, technical knockout, disqualification, submission, decision, or is declared a draw/no contest. Each method of finish represents a different way the fight could conclude.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the method of finish in the UFC Fight Night bout between Christopher Padilla and Nasrat Haqparast scheduled for August 22, 2026. If the fight concludes via knockout (KO), technical knockout (TKO), or disqualification (DQ), the 'KO/TKO/DQ' outcome settles to Yes. If either fighter secures a submission victory, the 'Submission' outcome settles to Yes. Should the bout end with a decision—whether split, majority, or unanimous—the 'Decision' outcome resolves to Yes. Finally, if the result is declared a draw or no contest for any reason, the 'Draw/No Contest' outcome settles to Yes. All outcomes are evaluated independently, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks, logos, and brand names.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Padilla vs. Haqparast finish market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price fluctuations, and 24-hour volume changes for this specific betting market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different fight-ending scenarios, offering a live view of market sentiment and activity as the event approaches. The dashboard updates continuously to reflect new trades and provides insights into investor expectations for how the bout might conclude.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price for each possible finish method based on their expectations and available information. The current top outcome reflects the highest traded probability, with volume of $63,415 showing overall market interest. Prices adjust dynamically as new fight news, training updates, or fighter injuries emerge, allowing participants to react quickly to shifting perceptions of who might win and how.

This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result — based on how Padilla versus Haqparast’s bout concludes — will determine the paying option. All resolution checks rely on widely accepted news sources and official fight records to ensure transparency and accuracy for traders on Kalshi.

Key signals such as pre-fight media appearances, training camp updates, injury reports, and changes in betting volumes could shift this market. Any indication that a fighter is favoring a particular style — for example, aggressive striking or tactical grappling — may influence trader sentiment. Additionally, last-minute developments like coaching strategies or weight-cutting outcomes often create rapid price swings as the event nears.