TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 12:16 PM EST
Kalshi
Chris Rodesch and Dusan Lajovic will compete in the 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Qualification Round 2. This market tracks the exact final set score of their professional tennis match, with each outcome corresponding to a specific winner and set margin.
This event covers the Chris Rodesch vs Dusan Lajovic professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Round 2. Each market outcome resolves to Yes based on the exact set score achieved by the specified player. If the match does not occur before play begins—due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation—the market resolves to a fair price. Postponed or delayed matches remain open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires, markets that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play will resolve accordingly; those that cannot be settled will resolve to Fair Market Price at the Exchange's discretion.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market's odds may move faster or slower than traditional sportsbook lines depending on trader activity and information flow. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest or where sharp traders see value relative to conventional betting markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for each exact-score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of any outcome reflects the most recent trades and pending orders, updating in real time as new information emerges or trader conviction shifts. Shares are bought and sold fractionally between 0 and 1, with the price representing the implied probability that specific scoreline will occur. Liquidity and spreads vary depending on how many traders are actively positioned in each outcome.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, once the Rodesch vs Lajovic match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation play. Traders holding shares in the correct final score receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of match completion once the result is confirmed and published by official match records.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before the match begins. Injury announcements or roster changes affecting either player's fitness or form could trigger significant repricing. Recent performance data, head-to-head history, and surface conditions at the venue all influence trader expectations about likely scorelines. News about player motivation, tournament context, or external circumstances may also prompt position adjustments. As the match date approaches, any breaking information about player status or match conditions typically generates sharp trading activity.