TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 10:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of a specific song on a major music chart during a defined month. It evaluates whether the song maintains the top position for varying durations, reflecting its popularity and chart success over time.
The event assesses the chart dominance of the song “Choosin’ Texas” by Ella Langley on the Billboard Hot 100 during September 2026. Multiple markets within this event require the song to hold the #1 position for increasing durations—ranging from one to four weeks—throughout the month. If the song meets or exceeds the specified number of weeks at the top for any given market, that market resolves positively. The structure allows participants to gauge different levels of sustained chart success, with each market reflecting a higher threshold of popularity and stability at the chart’s summit.
Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of fan engagement and media momentum. Analysts may weigh historical performance and chart metrics, while traders react quickly to social media trends, streaming numbers, and weekly chart updates. When there’s a strong consensus among analysts, this market sometimes aligns, but it can also diverge based on real-time fan sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the weekly chart data for September is verifiable from credible public reporting. The contract settles based on whether Choosin’ Texas holds the #1 position for the specified weeks, as reflected in official industry charts.