TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC?

Volume:
$575,392

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 18, 2026

Closed: Jul 18, 9:01 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$124,970
N/A
N/A
$69,717
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$93,441
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Zhejiang Prof.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$127,299
N/A
N/A
$77,988
Settled
No
polymarket

Zhejiang Zhiye FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,723
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$87,135
N/A
N/A
$51,644
Settled
No
polymarket

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$82,823
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Chongqing Tonglianglong FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC scheduled for July 18, 2026. Three binary markets on Polymarket ask about a Chongqing win, a draw, and a Zhejiang win respectively, while Kalshi offers a single three-outcome market covering all possible results (Chongqing win, Zhejiang win, or tie).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi align on the same match outcome determination (90 minutes plus stoppage time), official CSL source, and identical postponement/cancellation logic, with only structural differences in market design (three binary vs. one three-outcome).Primary resolution logic: Chinese Super League (CSL) official statistics as published on csl-china.com or official CSL channels; if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome is determined by the official final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts.
  • Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win resolves Yes if they score more goals than Zhejiang Zhiye FC; otherwise No.
  • Draw resolves Yes if both teams have equal goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise No.
  • Zhejiang Zhiye FC win resolves Yes if they score more goals than Chongqing Tonglianglong FC; otherwise No.
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed.
  • If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game: Polymarket win markets (Chongqing and Zhejiang) resolve No, draw market resolves Yes; Kalshi three-outcome market resolves Yes.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed; resolution then follows standard outcome rules.
  • Cancellation without makeup: Polymarket: Chongqing win and Zhejiang win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes. Kalshi: three-outcome market resolves Yes (all outcomes covered).
  • Late official statistics: If CSL does not publish official final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution uses consensus from credible reporting sources.
  • Post-resolution score revision: Any official score revisions made after market resolution are not honored; the initially declared final result stands.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes at 90 minutes plus stoppage time on July 18, 2026. Official statistics from CSL are the primary source; if unavailable within 2 hours, credible reporting consensus is used. Markets settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for Saturday, July 18, 2026 between Chongqing Tonglianglong FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC.

Kalshi

This event resolves based on the final result of the professional Chinese Super League soccer match between Chongqing Tonglianglong FC and Zhejiang Prof. scheduled for July 18, 2026, evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution excludes extra time and penalties. The match result is classified into three mutually exclusive outcomes: a win for Chongqing Tonglianglong FC, a win for Zhejiang Prof., or a tie. If the match ends in a draw after regulation time, the Tie outcome resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than two weeks away from the original July 18 date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

PredictionHero aggregates real-time odds for the Chongqing vs. Zhejiang football match across Polymarket and Kalshi, letting you monitor consensus pricing on the match outcome. The dashboard displays current implied probabilities, 24-hour volume trends, and cross-platform spreads as traders position ahead of the fixture. This unified view helps you spot pricing inefficiencies and track how professional and retail traders are assessing each team's chances. Whether you're comparing platforms or analyzing market sentiment, the aggregated data reveals which outcomes are gaining or losing conviction in real time.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in margin; prediction markets reflect live trader consensus, updating continuously as new information emerges. Prediction market prices often react faster to breaking news, team injuries, or lineup changes because they're driven by decentralized participant conviction rather than a single operator's risk model. Over time, prediction markets have proven competitive with or more accurate than sportsbook lines on major sports events, though liquidity and volume vary by platform and event.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, fee structures, and regulatory frameworks, leading to natural pricing variation. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have distinct liquidity pools and user bases with different information access or risk appetites. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these gaps, but temporary spreads persist due to withdrawal delays, platform-specific fees, or regional trader concentration. Monitoring both venues helps you identify which platform is pricing this match more efficiently and where edge may exist.

Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or managerial decisions can shift odds significantly in the days before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head records, and weather conditions at the venue also influence trader positioning. Major roster updates or unexpected withdrawals by star players often trigger sharp repricing across both platforms. Monitor team social media, official league announcements, and sports news outlets for developments that could alter perceived match probabilities. Late-breaking tactical shifts or venue changes, though rare, can create sudden volatility in this market.