TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC
Volume:
$177,422
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A Chinese Super League soccer match between Chongqing Tonglianglong FC and Wuhan San Zhen FC (also referred to as Wuhan Three Towns FC) scheduled for April 11, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi cover three outcomes: Chongqing win, Wuhan win, and draw, all evaluated on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Draw market cancellation logic differs between platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation; Kalshi's three-way market does not specify cancellation handling, creating potential settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
If the match is canceled without a make-up date, Polymarket draw traders win automatically, but Kalshi traders face uncertainty. Confirm Kalshi's cancellation protocol with the platform before the event date. Consider hedging draw exposure across platforms or consolidating positions on the platform with clearer cancellation terms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Chongqing win, Wuhan win, draw). Draw market explicitly resolves YES if game is canceled with no make-up. Win markets resolve NO on cancellation. Primary source: CSL-China.com official statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.
- Kalshi: Single three-way market (Chongqing win / Wuhan win / Tie). Resolves YES for whichever outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation logic is not specified in provided terms; standard market practice would void or delay resolution pending rescheduling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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