TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC
Volume:
$157,192
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Chongqing Tonglianglong FC and Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC scheduled for April 17, 2026. Polymarket offers three binary markets (Chongqing win, Draw, Shenzhen win), while Kalshi offers a single ternary market covering all three outcomes. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 17, 2026, with identical treatment of postponements and cancellations across all three possible outcomes (Chongqing win, draw, Shenzhen win).
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the Chinese Super League (CSL) governing body or event organizers, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
- Polymarket offers three binary markets: Chongqing win (YES/NO), Draw (YES/NO), and Shenzhen win (YES/NO). Exactly one will resolve YES.
- Kalshi offers a single market that resolves YES for any outcome: Chongqing win, Draw, or Shenzhen win.
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket's Chongqing and Shenzhen markets resolve NO, while the Draw market resolves YES. Kalshi's market resolves YES (covering all outcomes).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution occurs only after the delayed match concludes.
- Cancellation Without Make-Up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, Polymarket's Draw market resolves YES while win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's market resolves YES (as it covers all possible outcomes including cancellation scenarios).
- Resolution Source Hierarchy: Official CSL statistics are the primary source. If not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus becomes the resolution basis.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the final match result by the Chinese Super League governing body, or within 2 hours after match conclusion if official statistics are unavailable and credible reporting consensus is used.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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