TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 9:34 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether both China and New Zealand score at least one goal during their international friendly match set for September 27, 2026, considering only regular time goals.
If China and New Zealand both score a goal in the China vs New Zealand Intl Friendlies match originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market aggregates individual predictions. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that market participants have information or perspectives not fully incorporated into traditional betting lines. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid and ask for contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the China vs New Zealand match. The current price reflects the market’s consensus expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are those who correctly anticipate the outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the evolving collective assessment of the likelihood of a ‘Both Teams To Score’ result.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both China and New Zealand score at least one goal during the match. The official result, as reported by recognized sports authorities, will determine the settlement of contracts on Kalshi. No further information is available regarding the specific resolution process beyond this general timing and outcome verification.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either China or New Zealand would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also shift expectations. Unexpected news related to the overall tournament or the competitive landscape might also cause traders to reassess the probability of both teams scoring, leading to price movements on Kalshi.