TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 5:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the volleyball match between China and France in the FIVB Nations League, originally scheduled for July 16 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "China" if China wins the match. It will resolve to "France" if France wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official FIVB results.
This market refers to the volleyball match between China and France in the FIVB Nations League, originally scheduled for July 16 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "China" if China wins the match. It will resolve to "France" if France wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official FIVB results.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets let traders freely price outcomes based on their beliefs. This market aggregates the views of thousands of independent forecasters, which can reveal information gaps or consensus that sportsbooks have not yet priced in. Comparing the two can highlight where public opinion and professional oddsmakers disagree, offering valuable perspective for your decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that calculates odds based on the ratio of shares held in each outcome pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares to express their forecast, and the price adjusts dynamically as the pool composition changes. Higher trading volume typically narrows the spread between bid and ask prices, making it cheaper to enter or exit a position. The system ensures continuous liquidity and transparent pricing throughout the market's lifetime.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Winning shares will be redeemed at full value, while losing shares expire worthless. The resolution process is automated once the event concludes and the result is established, ensuring all traders receive payouts fairly and promptly. Until that date, prices will fluctuate based on new information, team performance, and shifting trader expectations.
Key catalysts include team roster changes, recent match results, injury announcements, and head-to-head historical performance. Shifts in public perception following media coverage or expert commentary can also drive significant price swings. Training camp updates, weather conditions on event day, and late-breaking tactical decisions may influence trader confidence in the final hours. Any unexpected development affecting either team's form or readiness could trigger rapid repricing as the market absorbs new information and adjusts implied probabilities accordingly.