TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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China vs. Czechia
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of China vs Czechia?

Volume:
$574,605

China

 - Kalshi

China - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 7, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 10:44 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

China

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$255,876
N/A
N/A
$85,200
Settled
Yes
polymarket

China vs. Czechia

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.4¢
N/A
$68,124
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Czechia

View
0%
91%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$250,605
N/A
N/A
$106,007
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a single FIBA Women's Basketball World Cup game between China and Czechia, scheduled for September 6, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of China vs. Czechia winning is 99.6%, as aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. Resolution will be based on the official results reported by https://www.fiba.basketball/en/events/fiba-womens-basketball-world-cup-2026. Keep an eye on the game itself on September 6, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins, while Polymarket specifies which team wins.Hero tip: Polymarket offers a more specific resolution, while Kalshi's market is a binary 'either team wins' outcome. Focus on Polymarket for a clearer signal.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market resolves to 'China' if China wins and 'Czechia' if Czechia wins. Source: https://www.fiba.basketball/en/events/fiba-womens-basketball-world-cup-2026
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if either China or Czechia wins the game. Source: Kalshi market description.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 6 at 8:30AM ET: If the China win, the market will resolve to "China". If the Czechia win, the market will resolve to "Czechia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official outcome of the Czechia vs China women's professional FIBA World Cup basketball game scheduled for September 6, 2026, at 8:30 AM EDT. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the China vs. Czechia match from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays a consensus view of probabilities, combining volume and price data to show where the crowd believes the outcome will land. Currently, the aggregated volume for this market is $574,605, with $573,525 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a comprehensive overview beyond any single platform, giving a more robust signal of potential outcomes for the China vs. Czechia match.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how each is priced. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market, like others, may reveal different probabilities than those offered by sportsbooks. Prediction markets also benefit from continuous trading, allowing odds to adjust rapidly to new information, something sportsbooks typically do less frequently. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient indicators of true probabilities.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading volumes, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Polymarket currently favors China winning at a probability of 98%, while Kalshi has a different level of conviction. Furthermore, liquidity can vary significantly between the two venues, impacting how easily prices move in response to new information. These differences highlight the importance of looking at multiple markets to get a comprehensive view of potential outcomes.