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China PR vs. New Zealand - First Team to Score
predict
polymarket

What team will score first?

Volume:
$317

New Zealand

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 11:31 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

New Zealand

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

NZL

View
57%
Yes 57¢No 43¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

CHN

View
90%
48%
Yes 90¢No 10¢
—
$0
$264
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

China PR

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Neither

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between China PR and New Zealand. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict use identical resolution criteria regarding the first goal scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with the same fallback resolution sources and handling of postponements/cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, and consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • The first team to score during the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time wins the market.
  • If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded from consideration.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as the official result is available, or within 24 hours of the event's conclusion if fallback sources are required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between China PR and New Zealand, scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "China PR" if China PR are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "New Zealand" if New Zealand are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming match between China PR and New Zealand, scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "China PR" if China PR are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "New Zealand" if New Zealand are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probability of either China or New Zealand scoring first in their upcoming match. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Neither team to score first? at 98, while Predict leans toward China PR to score first vs. New Zealand? at n/a. This reflects a consensus view aggregated from both platforms, though discrepancies can occur. The total volume across both venues is $317, with $54 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows you to see how others are predicting which team will break the deadlock and gain an early advantage in the China vs. New Zealand first-to-score market.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient and reflecting a more accurate probability assessment. However, sportsbooks often have lower limits and faster payouts, and may offer different types of wagers not available in this market.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price differences between Polymarket and Predict on this market arise from several factors. Each platform has its own user base with varying risk appetites and information, leading to differing opinions on the likelihood of each outcome. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and order matching on Polymarket and Predict can influence price formation. These dynamics create opportunities for arbitrage, but also explain why the odds may not always be identical across both platforms for the China vs. New Zealand first-to-score market.