TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 2:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yiming Dang and Xiaodi You in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yiming Dang' if Yiming Dang advances against Xiaodi You. This market will resolve to 'Xiaodi You' if Xiaodi You advances against Yiming Dang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yiming Dang and Xiaodi You in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yiming Dang' if Yiming Dang advances against Xiaodi You. This market will resolve to 'Xiaodi You' if Xiaodi You advances against Yiming Dang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from the implied probabilities on Polymarket, it could indicate disagreement about the players’ form, potential upsets, or other factors not fully captured by conventional oddsmaking. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but they are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the China Open qualifying match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect which player, Yiming Dang or Xiaodi You, advanced to the next stage of the tournament. Resolution will be based on the official tournament results as published by the tournament organizers. The final price of shares will then reflect the accuracy of the market’s predictions.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other qualifying matches, or even weather forecasts impacting the tournament schedule, could also cause traders to reassess their positions. Significant volume spikes, indicating strong conviction from a large number of traders, would also be a key signal to watch as we approach the Oct 5, 2026 resolution date.