TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 6:47 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ulrikke Eikeri and Varvara Lepchenko in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ulrikke Eikeri' if Ulrikke Eikeri advances against Varvara Lepchenko. This market will resolve to 'Varvara Lepchenko' if Varvara Lepchenko advances against Ulrikke Eikeri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ulrikke Eikeri and Varvara Lepchenko in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ulrikke Eikeri' if Ulrikke Eikeri advances against Varvara Lepchenko. This market will resolve to 'Varvara Lepchenko' if Varvara Lepchenko advances against Ulrikke Eikeri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction markets like Polymarket often reflect information and insights beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds represent the views of bookmakers, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially incorporating more nuanced factors. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or as public sentiment shifts. Comparing the probabilities offered by this market to those found at major sportsbooks can reveal discrepancies and potentially identify value opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of the match being completed, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe the match will be completed, the higher the share price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing expectations about the event.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the completion status of the Eikeri vs Lepchenko match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether the match is officially recorded as completed according to official tournament results. The platform will then determine the winning outcome based on the verified result, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the health or form of either Ulrikke Eikeri or Varvara Lepchenko could significantly impact the perceived probability of the match being completed. Unexpected weather conditions at the China Open venue, or any announcements related to tournament scheduling changes, could also move the market. Additionally, significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in broader tennis news or social media discussions, might influence trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.