TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 6:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tereza Mihalikova and Han Shi in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tereza Mihalikova' if Tereza Mihalikova advances against Han Shi. This market will resolve to 'Han Shi' if Han Shi advances against Tereza Mihalikova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tereza Mihalikova and Han Shi in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tereza Mihalikova' if Tereza Mihalikova advances against Han Shi. This market will resolve to 'Han Shi' if Han Shi advances against Tereza Mihalikova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
It's common to see differences between prediction market odds and those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set their lines to attract balanced betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the unique dynamics of each venue. Analyzing these differences can sometimes reveal insights into public perception versus informed opinion regarding the Mihalikova vs Han Shi match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Mihalikova vs Han Shi match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price fluctuates based on new information and trader sentiment, offering a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The current volume indicates the level of interest in this particular outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result of the Mihalikova vs Han Shi match, as reported by the tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will then verify the result against these sources to finalize the settlement. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the Mihalikova vs Han Shi match, or even broader trends within the China Open tournament, could also impact the market. Furthermore, significant trading activity from informed participants could signal new information or a change in perceived probabilities, causing the market to react accordingly.