TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 6:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rebecca Sramkova and Jodie Burrage in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rebecca Sramkova' if Rebecca Sramkova advances against Jodie Burrage. This market will resolve to 'Jodie Burrage' if Jodie Burrage advances against Rebecca Sramkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rebecca Sramkova and Jodie Burrage in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rebecca Sramkova' if Rebecca Sramkova advances against Jodie Burrage. This market will resolve to 'Jodie Burrage' if Jodie Burrage advances against Rebecca Sramkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money trading. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially when there’s significant public interest and information available. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing opinions and risk assessments among traders and bookmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregate sentiment of all participants trading on Polymarket, and the market is open for trading until it resolves.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sramkova vs Burrage match as reported by the tournament organizers. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the China Open could also affect the market, as they might influence overall confidence in certain players. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal a shift in sentiment and cause the market to move quickly.