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399,592
Markets across
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events
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Closed: Sep 28, 9:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maddison Inglis and Xinxin Yao in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maddison Inglis' if Maddison Inglis advances against Xinxin Yao. This market will resolve to 'Xinxin Yao' if Xinxin Yao advances against Maddison Inglis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maddison Inglis and Xinxin Yao in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maddison Inglis' if Maddison Inglis advances against Xinxin Yao. This market will resolve to 'Xinxin Yao' if Xinxin Yao advances against Maddison Inglis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance betting action, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of many individuals. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate that prediction market traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It's also common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to new information, as they are continuously updated by traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular outcome will happen, the higher the price of its shares will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment regarding the Inglis vs Yao match.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the China Open, Qualification match between Maddison Inglis and Xinxin Yao. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates for either Maddison Inglis or Xinxin Yao, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions at the tournament location could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, unexpected results in other matches within the China Open qualification rounds might shift overall sentiment and affect trading activity in this market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either player winning could lead to price fluctuations.