TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 7:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jie Cui and Daniel Altmaier in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jie Cui' if Jie Cui advances against Daniel Altmaier. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Altmaier' if Daniel Altmaier advances against Jie Cui. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jie Cui and Daniel Altmaier in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jie Cui' if Jie Cui advances against Daniel Altmaier. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Altmaier' if Daniel Altmaier advances against Jie Cui. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more people buy shares in an outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing perspectives among traders. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the China Open, Qualification match between Jie Cui and Daniel Altmaier. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result of the match and their holdings in the market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. For example, if reports emerge that Daniel Altmaier is playing with an injury, the odds in favor of Jie Cui could increase. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament venue could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could temporarily move the market, although sustained price changes typically require broader shifts in sentiment.