TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 2:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Elsa Jacquemot and Zongyu Li in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elsa Jacquemot' if Elsa Jacquemot advances against Zongyu Li. This market will resolve to 'Zongyu Li' if Zongyu Li advances against Elsa Jacquemot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elsa Jacquemot and Zongyu Li in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elsa Jacquemot' if Elsa Jacquemot advances against Zongyu Li. This market will resolve to 'Zongyu Li' if Zongyu Li advances against Elsa Jacquemot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information and their own analysis. If there's a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that information not yet reflected in sportsbook odds is influencing traders. It’s worth comparing to see if you identify any interesting differences in perceived probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing means the odds are constantly updating to reflect the latest information and collective sentiment. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is determined by the share price relative to a payout of 1 USDC per share.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Elsa Jacquemot vs Zongyu Li qualification match in the China Open. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results to determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout of 1 USDC per share, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will receive nothing.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could prompt traders to reassess their probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches within the China Open qualification rounds might also affect perceptions of player momentum. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by social media discussion or expert analysis, could also lead to significant price movements. Keep an eye on tennis news and analysis leading up to Oct 5, 2026 to understand potential catalysts.