TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 7:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Desirae Krawczyk and Darya Astakhova in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Desirae Krawczyk' if Desirae Krawczyk advances against Darya Astakhova. This market will resolve to 'Darya Astakhova' if Darya Astakhova advances against Desirae Krawczyk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Desirae Krawczyk and Darya Astakhova in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Desirae Krawczyk' if Desirae Krawczyk advances against Darya Astakhova. This market will resolve to 'Darya Astakhova' if Darya Astakhova advances against Desirae Krawczyk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction markets like Polymarket can offer different probabilities than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they may drive up the price on Polymarket, creating a difference in implied probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of information is publicly available or when there’s strong public sentiment influencing trading.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Krawczyk vs Astakhova match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by tournament organizers, confirming which player won the match. The platform will then determine the winning share(s) and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts affecting the match schedule, could also impact the price of shares. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.