TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 12:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carol Zhao and Vivian Wolff in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carol Zhao' if Carol Zhao advances against Vivian Wolff. This market will resolve to 'Vivian Wolff' if Vivian Wolff advances against Carol Zhao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carol Zhao and Vivian Wolff in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carol Zhao' if Carol Zhao advances against Vivian Wolff. This market will resolve to 'Vivian Wolff' if Vivian Wolff advances against Carol Zhao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive market. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the probability of Carol Zhao winning against Vivian Wolff. This is a good indicator of public sentiment on the match.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the China Open Qualification match between Carol Zhao and Vivian Wolff. The platform will verify the winner based on official tournament results, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about either player’s preparation or strategy could also cause movement. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves as the China Open Qualification match approaches.