TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chile vs. USA
polymarket
kalshi

Chile vs. USA

Volume:
$62,849

USA

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 28, 2026

Closed: Aug 27, 9:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

USA

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25,870
N/A
N/A
$21,469
Settled
Yes
polymarket

USA (-19.5)

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chile

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,854
N/A
N/A
$15,796
Settled
No
polymarket

Chile vs. USA

View
0%
91%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,881
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 177.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game between Chile and USA. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, including any overtime periods.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market structure mismatch between binary outcome (Polymarket) and ambiguous Yes/No format (Kalshi)Hero tip: Trade cautiously on Kalshi until platform clarifies whether 'Yes' refers to Chile win, USA win, or either team's victory. Polymarket offers clearer team-specific outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to "Chile" if Chile wins, "USA" if USA wins, 50-50 if canceled with no makeup game. Result determined by final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either Chile or USA wins the game. The meaning of 'Yes' (which team's victory) is ambiguous and requires clarification.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Americas game, scheduled for August 26 at 6:00PM ET: If the Chile win, the market will resolve to "Chile". If the USA win, the market will resolve to "USA". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

If Chile wins the USA vs Chile men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game originally scheduled for Aug 27, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If USA wins the USA vs Chile men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game originally scheduled for Aug 27, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because of differing user bases, liquidity levels, and fee structures. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more international traders, skewing its odds based on global sentiment, while the other could reflect a more regional viewpoint. Additionally, volume differences—$62,849 across all venues versus $59,796 in the last day—can amplify price swings. These factors combined often explain why the same question settles at distinct probabilities on each venue.