TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 6:29 PM EST
Kalshi
The result hinges on whether the Chicago WS and Tampa Bay baseball match scheduled for August 1, 2026, lasts longer than the regulation nine innings. If the score remains tied after the ninth inning, the game proceeds to extra innings, where teams continue to bat and field until one team achieves a decisive advantage. This situation often leads to intense and unpredictable gameplay, reflecting the competitive balance between the two teams.
If Chicago WS and Tampa Bay go to extra innings in the Chicago WS vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 1, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent the probability of the game going into extra innings. The current top chance reflects the aggregated wisdom of participants and updates dynamically with each trade. This mechanism allows for rapid adjustments based on new information such as pitcher performance, weather updates, or in-game events.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether the game lasts longer than nine innings, as officially recorded by the league. No additional interpretation or judgment is required beyond confirming the basic fact from authoritative news and official league records.
Key signals that could shift this market include starting pitcher changes, weather delays, injuries to key players, and any in-game developments that suggest a prolonged contest. Traders will also react to pre-game analyses, betting trends, and any last-minute roster updates. As the start time approaches, any news that affects the expected length of the game can cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi.