TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 1:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether either team will score a run in the first inning of the Chicago WS vs Detroit professional baseball game. On Kalshi, the current probability for Yes is 99.0%. The outcome will be resolved based on the game's official results. Watch for the first inning of the game scheduled for August 15, 2026, as this is when the event will be determined.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Chicago WS vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust dynamically based on real-time trading activity and can diverge from sportsbook odds due to differences in liquidity and participant behavior. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like public betting trends and risk management, this market offers a pure exchange-driven perspective. Traders often monitor both to identify potential value gaps, though the mechanisms and participant bases remain distinct. The resulting prices in this market can therefore show unique fluctuations compared to conventional sports betting odds.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price for this market through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate expectations of participants. The market’s price fluctuates based on trading volume, recent performance data, and any shifts in perceived team momentum leading up to the game.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether a run is scored in the first inning of the game, as officially recorded in the box score and widely reported by sports news outlets.
Key performances in the first few games, injuries to star players, and changes in team strategies could shift expectations for this market. Weather conditions or pitching rotations may also influence early-game dynamics. Traders will react to any pre-game news or last-minute lineup decisions that affect the likelihood of an early run. As Aug 15, 2026 approaches, updated statistics and expert commentary may further sway market sentiment, especially if there are notable shifts in team form or morale leading up to the matchup.