TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 9:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between two baseball teams in a scheduled game. It focuses on the margin of victory, reflecting how decisively one team outperforms the other. Outcomes are determined by the run difference at the end of the game, without considering other factors like ties or cancellations.
The event evaluates various run-difference thresholds for both teams in a specific professional baseball matchup scheduled for September 15, 2026. Six distinct primary rules define different winning margins: Cleveland must win by more than 3.5, 2.5, or 1.5 runs, or Chicago White Sox must win by more than 1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 runs. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the specific rule where the actual run differential exceeds the stated threshold for the respective team’s victory. All rules operate under the same game context—originally scheduled for September 15, 2026, at 6:40 PM EDT—and share identical secondary disclaimers regarding Kalshi’s lack of official affiliation with the governing league. The resolution depends solely on the final score difference, with no ties, cancellations, or alternative conditions affecting the outcome.