TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chicago WS vs Cleveland: Spread
kalshi

Chicago WS vs Cleveland: Spread

Volume:
$592,001

Cleveland wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 16, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 9:35 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$349,231
N/A
N/A
$252,016
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago WS wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$114,996
N/A
N/A
$79,151
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$60,148
N/A
N/A
$33,261
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,261
N/A
N/A
$13,272
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago WS wins by over 3.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,760
N/A
N/A
$17,926
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago WS wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,612
N/A
N/A
$9,088
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 5.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,255
N/A
N/A
$2,379
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 4.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,738
N/A
N/A
$1,931
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks the performance gap between two baseball teams in a scheduled game. It focuses on the margin of victory, reflecting how decisively one team outperforms the other. Outcomes are determined by the run difference at the end of the game, without considering other factors like ties or cancellations.

Kalshi

The event evaluates various run-difference thresholds for both teams in a specific professional baseball matchup scheduled for September 15, 2026. Six distinct primary rules define different winning margins: Cleveland must win by more than 3.5, 2.5, or 1.5 runs, or Chicago White Sox must win by more than 1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 runs. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the specific rule where the actual run differential exceeds the stated threshold for the respective team’s victory. All rules operate under the same game context—originally scheduled for September 15, 2026, at 6:40 PM EDT—and share identical secondary disclaimers regarding Kalshi’s lack of official affiliation with the governing league. The resolution depends solely on the final score difference, with no ties, cancellations, or alternative conditions affecting the outcome.