TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 9:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event determines the winner of the first seven innings of the July 2, 2026 game between Chicago White Sox and Cleveland. Bettors can wager on either team winning the first seven innings or a tie at that point.
Resolution is determined by the score at the end of the first seven innings of the Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If Chicago White Sox leads after seven innings, the Chicago White Sox market resolves to Yes. If Cleveland leads after seven innings, the Cleveland market resolves to Yes. If the teams are tied after seven innings, the Tie market resolves to Yes and all team-specific markets resolve to No. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and attract different trader bases. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by supply and demand from traders betting their own capital. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, more efficient pricing because traders have direct financial incentive to identify mispriced outcomes. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news or injuries. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal arbitrage opportunities or validate your own view of the first seven innings outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers post bids and offers on the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the last trade executed, and the spread between bid and ask represents the current liquidity gap. As more traders enter positions, prices adjust to reflect new information and shifting conviction. You can place limit orders to buy or sell at your target price, or execute market orders for immediate fills at the current best available price. The continuous pricing model means odds can shift rapidly, especially as game time approaches or if significant news emerges.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the first seven innings of the Chicago WS vs Cleveland game are complete and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team has more runs after exactly seven innings of play. No additional innings or extra-inning scenarios factor into this market's resolution. Traders should monitor official game reporting and league sources to confirm the final score at the seven-inning mark. Early resolution may occur if the game is called or suspended before completion, subject to standard baseball rules and platform guidelines.
Several factors can shift odds significantly before the game begins. Injury announcements to key players, lineup changes, or weather updates affecting playing conditions often trigger sharp moves. Starting pitcher performance history and recent team form are closely watched by traders. Breaking news about roster decisions or managerial strategy can also influence pricing. Once play starts, early scoring, defensive plays, and momentum swings during the first seven innings will drive real-time price adjustments. Late-game developments—such as a team falling behind or ahead—typically accelerate trading volume and volatility as traders reassess probabilities and adjust positions accordingly.