TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 7:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event determines the winner of the first three innings of the July 2, 2026 game between Chicago White Sox and Cleveland. Bettors can wager on either team winning the first three innings or a tie at that point.
Resolution is determined by the score at the end of the first three innings of the Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If Chicago White Sox leads after three innings, the Chicago White Sox market resolves to Yes. If Cleveland leads after three innings, the Cleveland market resolves to Yes. If the teams are tied after three innings, the Tie market resolves to Yes and all team-specific markets resolve to No. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets let traders directly stake capital on outcomes, creating price discovery through continuous trading. This market aggregates the collective judgment of participants willing to put real money behind their forecasts, which can sometimes offer an alternative perspective to conventional betting lines on the same matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the most recent trades and pending orders, updating continuously as new information emerges or sentiment shifts. Traders profit or lose based on whether their position moves in their favor before the market resolves, creating a dynamic price that balances supply and demand in real time.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the first three innings of the Chicago White Sox versus Cleveland game are complete and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be determined by the final score or result recorded for that specific period of play. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the event concludes and official confirmation is available.
Market prices may shift based on team roster updates, injury reports, weather conditions at game time, or recent performance trends. Betting action and sentiment from other sportsbooks can also influence trader behavior on this market. As the game start approaches, any breaking news about player availability or lineup changes could prompt repricing. During the first three innings themselves, live game developments—runs scored, pitching changes, or momentum swings—will drive final adjustments before settlement.