TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 7:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether either the Chicago WS team or the Boston team will score a run in the first inning of their scheduled baseball game. The outcome hinges on the early-game batting success of either side within the first inning's play.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Chicago WS vs Boston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 6, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, the current implied probability reflects trader sentiment about the likelihood of which team will score first in the opening inning. Sportsbook odds often incorporate additional factors such as historical performance and public betting trends. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities between the two. For this market, traders may react more quickly to real-time news or weather conditions that could affect the game's start, while sportsbooks typically update less frequently. The gap between the two can therefore widen or narrow based on recent developments leading up to the first pitch.
This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by which team scores the first run in the first inning of the game, as recorded by official scorekeepers and widely reported in sports media.
Several factors could shift probabilities in this market before Aug 7, 2026. Key starting pitcher announcements, weather forecasts affecting game conditions, and recent performance metrics from the teams' hitters and pitchers will all influence trader decisions. Any last-minute lineup changes or injury updates could cause rapid repricing. As the game approaches, bets placed in the hours leading up to the first pitch often drive the most significant movements, especially if new information emerges that wasn’t priced in earlier. Traders will watch for any official announcements closely.