TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 6:04 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-07-21 00:05 UTC: If the Chicago White Sox win, the market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox". If the Texas Rangers win, the market will resolve to "Texas Rangers". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-07-21 00:05 UTC: If the Chicago White Sox win, the market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox". If the Texas Rangers win, the market will resolve to "Texas Rangers". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and attract different trader bases. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets reflect the collective belief of traders wagering real money on outcomes. This market aggregates the views of many independent participants, which can sometimes surface insights that traditional oddsmakers miss. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest and where bettors and traders disagree most sharply.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders at their chosen prices. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The spread between the highest bid and lowest ask reflects the current uncertainty around the outcome. As new information emerges—injury reports, lineup changes, or recent team performance—traders adjust their orders, and the price moves to reflect the updated consensus. Tighter spreads indicate higher confidence in the market's fairness, while wider spreads suggest greater disagreement.
This market resolves around Jul 21, 2026, once the game concludes and the final result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official game result as recorded by Major League Baseball and confirmed through established sports reporting. No further action is required from traders after the event concludes; the platform automatically settles all positions based on the confirmed winner.
Key catalysts include roster updates, injury announcements, recent team performance trends, and weather conditions on game day. Starting pitcher matchups often drive significant price movement, as does any breaking news about player availability or lineup decisions. Trading volume typically spikes closer to game time as casual bettors enter the market alongside seasoned traders. Monitor team news feeds and official MLB announcements for developments that could shift the implied probabilities in either direction.