TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 6:49 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-15 22:40 UTC: If the Chicago White Sox win, the market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox". If the Cleveland Guardians win, the market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-15 22:40 UTC: If the Chicago White Sox win, the market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox". If the Cleveland Guardians win, the market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the game, you may see divergence in the odds. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially regarding factors not explicitly reflected in traditional betting lines.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing the likelihood of different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of the traders. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are influenced by supply and demand; if more people buy contracts predicting a White Sox win, the price will increase, and the implied probability of that outcome will also rise. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the White Sox vs Guardians game, as officially recorded, will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible for payout based on the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in starting pitchers, or weather forecasts could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player performance could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, even those unrelated to on-field factors, can sometimes influence trading activity and move the market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential price fluctuations.