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402,751

Markets across

30,217

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2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
polymarket
predict

Who will win Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians?

Volume:
$648,991

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

Closed: Jul 12, 2:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$528,046
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians

View
N/A
N/A
—
$4,965
$2,192
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$22,639
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$380
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$346
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$260
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
6.1¢
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,645
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,257
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 14.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,481
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 15.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,589
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 13.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$614
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$80
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 16.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 17.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 28

Description

This event group covers two MLB prediction markets for the July 5, 2:00 PM ET game between the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians: one market on the game winner (White Sox vs. Guardians) and one on whether a run will be scored in the first inning. Both markets are offered across Polymarket and Predict platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict apply identical resolution criteria for game winner and first inning run markets, with consistent handling of postponements, cancellations, and official source hierarchy.Primary resolution logic: Official final statistics from MLB.com and the governing body (Major League Baseball); credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 24 hours of event conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Game Winner Market: Resolves to Chicago White Sox if White Sox win; resolves to Cleveland Guardians if Guardians win.
  • First Inning Run Market: Resolves to Yes if at least one run is scored by either team in the 1st inning; resolves to No if zero runs scored in the 1st inning.
  • Postponement: Market remains open until the game is completed; check home team schedule on MLB.com for makeup game date.
  • Cancellation or Tie: If game is canceled with no makeup game or ends in a tie, game winner market resolves 50-50. First inning run market resolves 50-50 if game is canceled with no makeup.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponed Game: Market stays open. Bettors must monitor MLB.com home team schedule for makeup game details and resolution timing.
  • Canceled Game (No Makeup): Game winner market resolves 50-50. First inning run market resolves 50-50.
  • Tie Game: Game winner market resolves 50-50.
  • Official Statistics Delay: If MLB does not publish final statistics within 24 hours, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the game concludes and official final statistics are published by MLB.com, or within 24 hours thereafter if credible reporting consensus is required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for July 5 at 2:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for July 5 at 2:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate independently of traditional sportsbooks, often reflecting different risk profiles and trader incentives. While sportsbooks balance liability and set odds to attract equal action on both sides, prediction markets aggregate genuine belief through direct financial stakes. This market's odds may diverge from sportsbook lines because traders here face different constraints, longer settlement windows, and varying information sets. Comparing both sources helps identify where consensus breaks down and where value may exist.

Polymarket and Predict can show different prices on the same outcome due to distinct user bases, liquidity depths, and fee structures. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket typically attracts larger volumes and more sophisticated traders, while Predict may serve a different demographic or have tighter spreads in certain conditions. Arbitrage opportunities between platforms are limited by withdrawal friction and settlement timing, so price gaps can persist. Monitoring both helps you understand which platform's pricing is more reliable for your decision-making.

Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head matchup history. Weather conditions at game time, bullpen availability, and late-breaking lineup decisions often trigger sharp price moves in the final hours. Trading volume typically spikes closer to first pitch as new information surfaces and casual bettors enter. Monitoring team news, Vegas line movement, and platform volume can help you anticipate shifts in this market before they're fully priced in.