TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
predict
polymarket

Who will win Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles?

Volume:
$343,855

Spread -1.5

 - Polymarket

Spread -1.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 1, 12:35 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,747
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$376
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$372
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.6¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$303,882
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles

View
N/A
N/A
—
$3,994
$1,863
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,020
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,265
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,997
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,539
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$173
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

This event group covers MLB games between the Chicago White Sox and Baltimore Orioles across two separate dates and market types. Predict platform offers a head-to-head winner market for June 29, while Polymarket offers both a first-inning run market and a head-to-head winner market for July 1. The core issue is that the two platforms are pricing different games on different dates, creating a temporal divergence rather than a logical one.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two distinct games on different dates (June 29 vs. July 1) are grouped under the same event name. Polymarket also introduces a first-inning run market with no Predict equivalent, creating both temporal and scope divergence.Hero tip: Verify the actual MLB schedule to confirm whether July 1 is a makeup game for June 29 or a separate regular-season contest. If separate, these should be treated as entirely independent markets. Monitor the first-inning run market separately; it has different resolution mechanics than the winner market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: June 29, 6:35 PM ET head-to-head winner market only. Resolves to Chicago White Sox or Baltimore Orioles based on final game result. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation or tie resolves 50-50. Primary source: official MLB final statistics or credible consensus within 24 hours.
  • Polymarket: July 1, 12:35 PM ET with two markets: (1) First-inning run (Yes/No) and (2) Head-to-head winner. Both use identical postponement/cancellation logic (50-50 on cancellation). Primary source: official MLB final statistics or credible consensus within 24 hours.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for July 1 at 12:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for June 29 at 6:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks use different mechanisms to set odds. Sportsbooks employ oddsmakers and manage liability; prediction markets rely on trader consensus through continuous buying and selling. This market's odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information and sentiment. Comparing this market's prices to major sportsbook lines can reveal value opportunities, though prediction markets typically have lower liquidity and wider spreads than established betting venues.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, fee structures, and liquidity pools. Predict and Polymarket may price the same outcome differently due to variations in order flow, market depth, and how quickly new information propagates across each community. Additionally, if the platforms track slightly different event definitions or resolution criteria, price gaps can widen. Arbitrage opportunities sometimes emerge, though transaction costs and withdrawal delays often prevent full convergence.

Key catalysts include injury announcements, lineup changes, weather conditions at game time, and recent team performance trends. Betting line movement at sportsbooks often precedes prediction market shifts, so monitoring those changes can signal incoming trader activity here. Breaking news about player availability, managerial decisions, or ballpark factors may trigger rapid repricing. As game time approaches, live in-game developments—early runs, pitching changes, or momentum swings—will drive intra-game market volatility.