TOTAL VOLUME:
$143b
24H VOL:
$111,424,783
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,661,467,257
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,630,632,565
494,234
Markets across
37,330
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,871
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Chicago wins by over 17.5 points
- Kalshi
Chicago wins by over 17.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 22, 2026
Time left: 05d:04h:49m
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This event tracks various point-spread outcomes for an upcoming professional basketball game, allowing participants to bet on the exact margin of victory for either team. The markets cover a range of possible score differences, providing granular options for predicting the game's result.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Chicago vs Toronto Pro Basketball game scheduled for Oct 21, 2026. For markets where Toronto wins by a specified margin, the outcome resolves to Yes if Toronto's point differential exceeds that threshold; otherwise, it resolves to No. Conversely, for markets where Chicago wins by a specified margin, the outcome resolves to Yes if Chicago's point differential exceeds that threshold; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these specific conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that traders possess information not yet fully incorporated into the sportsbook’s lines, or simply a differing assessment of probabilities. It's common to see convergence as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective prediction of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded, and those with inaccurate assessments may incur losses. The current price represents the probability of a particular spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Chicago vs Toronto game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the relevant sporting authority. Any adjustments or corrections made to the official result will be reflected in the market’s resolution. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or address any losses based on the final settled spread.
Several factors could influence the Chicago vs Toronto spread market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding game, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the game conditions might also play a role. Finally, any significant public information released about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence traders’ assessments and move this market.