TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 9:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Chicago or Cincinnati specifically within the third quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
These markets evaluate whether Chicago or Cincinnati will win the third quarter of their Pro Football game by exceeding specific point differentials. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, for either team to win the quarter. The resolution depends solely on points scored during the third quarter, with no consideration given to the overall game result or any other quarters. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold must be assessed separately against the actual third-quarter score difference.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the actual point spread in the third quarter of the game, compared against the line set at the start of trading.
Key signals include injury reports or lineup changes announced before the game, as these directly impact scoring potential for each team in the third quarter. Weather updates, especially for outdoor venues, could also shift expectations for offensive efficiency. Mid-game momentum swings — such as successful drives or turnovers in the first half — often foreshadow third-quarter adjustments, influencing trader sentiment. Any last-minute coaching strategy revelations may also cause this market to shift as Aug 23, 2026 approaches.