TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the point differential between Chicago and Carolina in their scheduled Pro Football game on Sep 13, 2026. The outcome depends on how many points one team wins by compared to the other, including any overtime periods. Various margin ranges determine different resolutions for the market.
The event resolves based on the point differential between Chicago and Carolina in their full Pro Football game on Sep 13, 2026, including any overtime. If Carolina wins by exactly 0 points (a tie), or by between 1 to 6, 7 to 14, or 15 or more points, the market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Chicago wins by between 1 to 6, 7 to 14, or 15 or more points, the market also resolves to Yes. The resolution hinges entirely on the margin of victory for either team, with specific point ranges dictating the outcome. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of certain outcomes. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point differential of the game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning margin will be determined by the official result reported by the NFL. The market will settle to 100 for the winning margin range that corresponds to the actual result, and 0 for all other ranges. Traders holding contracts for the correct winning margin will receive a payout of 100 minus the commission paid when purchasing the contract.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 13, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries to key players on either the Chicago or Carolina teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the expected scoring and therefore the winning margin. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also shift market sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price fluctuations as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.